
Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam – Super Typhoon Ragasa, which has intensified to Category 16 with gusts above Category 17, is forecast to enter the East Sea (South China Sea) on September 23. Its wide circulation is expected to trigger heavy rain, thunderstorms, and strong winds across Ho Chi Minh City and southern provinces.
Ragasa Strength Comparable to 2024’s Typhoon Yagi
According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting (NCHMF), Ragasa has reached super typhoon strength, with maximum sustained winds at Category 16–17, similar to the record-breaking Typhoon Yagi (Typhoon No. 3) in 2024. By September 25, the storm could make landfall in northern Vietnam, from Quang Ninh to Ha Tinh.
Impacts on Ho Chi Minh City and the South
Mr. Le Dinh Quyet, Head of Forecasting at the Southern Hydro-Meteorological Station, noted that while Ragasa may weaken upon landfall, its massive circulation will still influence the entire southern region.
From September 23–25, Ho Chi Minh City and neighboring provinces are expected to face:
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Widespread heavy rainfall
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Localized downpours with thunderstorms, lightning, and strong gusts
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Coastal areas, including Can Gio and southern Lam Dong, at higher risk of severe weather
By September 27–29, another tropical convergence zone could form over the southern seas, bringing a second round of heavy rainfall to the region.
Rainfall Forecast for Ho Chi Minh City & Surrounding Areas
Meteorologists forecast significant rainfall totals during the last 10 days of September:
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Central districts (Saigon, Cho Lon): ~100 mm
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Suburban districts (Binh Tan, Hoc Mon, Cu Chi, Nha Be, Tan Thuan): 130–140 mm
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Binh Chanh & Can Gio: up to 150 mm
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Neighboring provinces (Binh Duong, Ba Ria–Vung Tau): 120–130 mm
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Hotspots (Phu Giao, Xuyen Moc, Con Dao): 140–150 mm
Advisory
Authorities are urging residents in Ho Chi Minh City and the southern region to:
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Prepare for flooding in low-lying areas
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Avoid outdoor activities during thunderstorms
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Stay updated with official weather alerts
With two major rain events expected, late September will be a challenging period for Ho Chi Minh City’s weather, requiring vigilance and preparedness.
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Source: Vietnam Insider

