
HANOI – From October 2025, northern Vietnam is expected to experience stronger cold fronts, while the central region will face prolonged heavy rainfall through the year’s end, according to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting.
Meteorologists predict that between October and December, the ENSO (El Niño–Southern Oscillation) phenomenon will remain in a neutral state, leaning toward a cooling phase but not yet reaching La Niña conditions. Average temperatures in November and December are forecast to be about 0.5°C lower than the long-term average.
Storms and Cold Spells Ahead
Between October and December, the East Sea (South China Sea) could see 4–5 tropical storms or depressions, with up to two potentially making landfall in Vietnam. Cold spells are expected to increase in frequency and intensity, with severe cold snaps likely from late December into early 2026.
The cold weather will persist into January and February 2026, before gradually weakening by March. Northern provinces may face prolonged cold waves and frost risks during this period.
Central Vietnam: Flood and Storm Risks
The central region is forecast to see widespread heavy rainfall from October to November, coinciding with the peak storm season. Areas most at risk include Ha Tinh to Thua Thien Hue, and the eastern parts of Quang Ngai to Khanh Hoa provinces.
Rainfall across most regions is expected to exceed the long-term average by 10–30%, while in December, central provinces could see rainfall higher by 50–100 mm, raising concerns of flooding and landslides.
From January to March 2026, scattered thunderstorms are also possible in the central provinces, with risks of dangerous weather phenomena such as lightning, whirlwinds, and strong gusts.
Preparedness Measures Urged
Authorities are urging local governments and residents to prepare for cold-weather impacts in the north and flood risks in the central region. Farmers and fishermen, in particular, are advised to monitor forecasts closely to minimize losses.
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Source: Vietnam Insider

